First let’s look at the ◄SPY 10AM Weekly► strategy. I didn’t enter one last week, but I did enter a Bear Call spread with the short Call at 114 – that was on Tuesday. Wednesday’s huge Bear move allowed me to enter my 4¢ limit order on the short 114 and it executed 12:30 pm that day, and take my profit. I was able to collect $196 (10.9% gain) in just 26.5 hours. Go Guru! Oh, and if you haven’t seen the video on this strategy, you’ll find it in the “New Downloads” section in the far right column.
The other Weekly that I was playing with was an AAPL Call Calendar spread (details on the right). Originally I opened with a -JUL4/+AUG 260 Calendar. I hung on to the Long AUG 260 as I rolled the JUL4 short 260 to JUL5, then to AUG1 and finally to the AUG2 260 weekly. As long as AAPL was cooperative and not going anywhere, I wanted to milk it as much as possible. Finally, over several weeks, I was able to gain a total of $496. I closed it on 8/10, figuring my luck had just about run its course. I got out just in time. AAPL is at $252 as I write this.
Overall this month is mixed and I am slightly ahead right now. The huge down move on 8/11 helped me quite a bit. My Bear Call on CREE was making me nervous, especially holding through earnings (naughty naughty), but I had a feeling that their guidance would not be very good, which is similar to what is happening to a lot of companies this earning season – good earnings/revenue and poor guidance. I bought back the short Calls yesterday for 5¢.
The Guru’s Market Sentiment: Neutral to Bearish. Maybe you didn’t ask for my opinion, but there it is anyway.
Based on my sentiment, I will be shopping for Bear Calls, Bear Puts and maybe some Calendars/Double Calendars biased towards the down side. Calendars should be looking better now that earnings season is over. Remember to look for candidates where the back month volatility is lower than the front month. This will help reduce the risk of back month volatility collapse and give you are better debit price on your Calendar.
Conservative Account
Today I continued to roll AUG Covered Calls to SEP with the exception of KFT and my new one, PAYX – all those that I rolled were ITM. There are 2 reasons for the rolls this early: 1) pending DivEx date on QCOM and 2) Extrinsic values were a penny or less. When the value of the Call reaches parity with the price of the stock, it’s more tempting for the Call holder to exercise. Conversely, in this volatile market, if I were holding a long Call I wouldn’t be looking for a penny or two under a stock price when it could move up to a dollar in a few hours. I was just being “Conservative”. Strangely, KFT still has 11¢ of extrinsic left in it – possibly because it’s less that $1 ITM – so I am holding off with that one until later next week.
About QCOM: remember I mentioned a few weeks ago that I was going to dump this holding because the returns just weren’t meeting my goals. Well, the story has temporarily changed. The roll that I did from AUG to SEP gives a credit of 50¢ on a $38 stock. That’s 1.3% for a month. That also will make me eligible for the 19¢ dividend in September, bringing the total to 69¢ and a return of 1.8%. After that I may unload it. Let’s see… I entered this Covered Call as a Buy/Write on 4/29 and if it get’s called out in SEP, it will have returned 6.54% – not bad, not bad at all.
You can get all the details of each open, roll and dividend event for each position by clicking on the Conservative Account tab at the top.
◄ Jeff ►